Professor Neil Ferguson’s argument for lockdown was ‘too good to be true’, says Swedish academic

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Professor Neil Ferguson’s argument for lockdown was ‘too good to be true’, says Swedish educational who accuses Imperial School London of ‘going past the information’ to help draconian measures 

  • Neil Ferguson co-wrote paper in June claiming restrictions reduce the virus’s R-rate 
  • The primary coronavirus wave subsided in Sweden with out draconian measures
  • Kristian Soltecz, of Sweden’s Lund College, analysed the Imperial paper  
  • His staff accused Imperial School of ‘mistaking assumptions for conclusions’ 

Influential analysis arguing that lockdowns are uniquely efficient in stemming coronavirus was based mostly on a spurious evaluation of the information, it has been claimed.

Ex-Authorities adviser Neil Ferguson and colleagues at Imperial School London have been accused of leaping to the conclusion that the measure was efficient, then making assumptions to help their perception.

The epidemiologist, dubbed ‘Professor Lockdown’, co-wrote a paper in June that calculated robust restrictions on leaving the home had been virtually single-handedly chargeable for slicing the virus’s R-rate of copy throughout Europe final spring. 

Ex-Government adviser Neil Ferguson and colleagues at Imperial College London have been accused of jumping to the conclusion that the measure was effective, then making assumptions to support their belief

Ex-Authorities adviser Neil Ferguson and colleagues at Imperial School London have been accused of leaping to the conclusion that the measure was efficient, then making assumptions to help their perception

Nonetheless, in Sweden, the primary wave subsided with out such draconian measures, successful that his staff as a substitute ascribed to a ban on public occasions.

But within the different nations, Imperial calculated that such bans reduce the R-rate by simply two per cent, in comparison with 81 per cent for lockdowns.

Kristian Soltecz, of Sweden’s Lund College, analysed the Imperial paper for the journal Nature and mentioned it had provided ‘a wholly completely different’ clarification for the way the virus was curbed in Sweden, crediting a measure that appeared virtually ineffective within the different nations.

‘It appeared virtually too good to be true that an efficient lockdown was launched in each nation besides one, whereas one other measure seemed to be unusually efficient on this nation,’ he mentioned, together with his staff accusing Imperial of going ‘past the information’ and ‘mistaking assumptions for conclusions’.

Final night time, Imperial stood by its evaluation that lockdown was the one transfer that had ‘a significant impact’.

London is pictured above on Boxing Day. Influential research arguing that lockdowns are uniquely effective in stemming coronavirus was based on a spurious analysis of the data, it has been claimed

London is pictured above on Boxing Day. Influential analysis arguing that lockdowns are uniquely efficient in stemming coronavirus was based mostly on a spurious evaluation of the information, it has been claimed

People are seen gathering to celebrate on New Year's Eve in Stockholm. In Sweden, the first wave subsided without such draconian measures, a success that his team instead ascribed to a ban on public events

Persons are seen gathering to have a good time on New Yr’s Eve in Stockholm. In Sweden, the primary wave subsided with out such draconian measures, successful that his staff as a substitute ascribed to a ban on public occasions

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